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Who Should Win the MVP?

Buster Olney got it started early this morning...
Though few people are happy to see Summer turn into Fall, at least we're finally at a good part of the year to have one of Baseball's most fun discussions.

As regular readers know, we particularly enjoy talking about prospects, pitching, hitting with patience and power, defense, and the Hall of Fame. The MVP or Cy Young discussion typically is open to casual fans. Sitting on any stoop, bus stop, or bar stool in America, you should be able to commiserate with a pal, or a stranger, over who should win the MVP or Cy Young Award.

Our opinions are below. Please leave your comments in the, um, comment sections.

American League Cy Young
Who Should Win the MVP?
Everybody Loves Raymond Felix
1. Felix Hernandez
2. David Price
3. Chris Sale
4. Justin Verlander
5. Jake Peavy

National League Cy Young
1. Stephen Strasburg
2. Clayton Kershaw
3. Matt Cain
4. Madison Bumgarner
5. R.A. Dickey

American League MVP
1. Mike Trout
2. Miguel Cabrera
3. Paul Konerko
4. Robinson Cano
5. Felix Hernandez
6. Austin Jackson
7. Adrian Beltre
8. David Price
9. Joe Mauer
Who Should Win the MVP?
Buster Posey is leading the Giants
10. Josh Hamilton

National League MVP
1. Andrew McCutchen
2. David Wright
3. Buster Posey
4. Ryan Braun
5. Matt Holliday
6. Matt Cain
7. Clayton Kershaw
8. Stephen Strasburg
9. Jason Heyward
10. Craig Kimbrel

Tell us what you think below, or let's discuss over a beer.

Cutting it in the Mexican Leagues

In 1974, David S. Ward won the Best Original Screenplay Oscar for The Sting, and was nominated in 1994 for Sleepless in Seattle.

The Sting has to be David Ward's best work, but in many ways, Major League was his shining moment. As opposed to his Oscar nominated work, he also directed Major League.

Curiously, Major League's only nomination was for Best Foreign Film, by the Japanese Academy. As you probably know, the Best Foreign Film Japanese Academy Award in 1990 went to Die Hard, beating out Rain Man! (Wait, they didn't love Rain Main?)


The brooding Yankees slugger in Major League is perfectly played by 1982 AL Cy Young Award winner, Pete Vuckovich.

In this scene Vuckovich, playing Haywood, walks up to the plate and chats up the familiar catcher...
Haywood: "Taylor, what are you doing back up here?"
Taylor: "Uh, couldn't cut it in the Mexican Leagues."
Haywood: "How's your wife and my kids?"
The exchange may be seen here, beginning at the 1:21 mark...



In honor of Jake Taylor's return from the Mexican Leagues, we present a snapshot of a few veterans who might get one more year in the sun at the Major League level.

Juan Miranda was released a couple of months ago by the Tampa Bay Rays. He got picked up by the Vaqueros Laguna of the Mexican League. Since arriving, he is batting a Herculean .423/.528/.676. Miranda has 10 extra base hits in 20 games and more walks than strikeouts.

Cutting it in the Mexican Leagues


His career numbers in the Major Leagues do not look good because they are not good. Yet, when looking at his career numbers as the Designated Hitter, there's a glimmer of hope. This is one of the smallest sample sizes we've ever shared on BAseball Reality Tour, so please take heed of this SAMPLE SIZE WARNING.

Juan Miranda Career Splits
Split PA BA OBP SLG
as 1B 224 .208 .311 .375
as DH 45 .310 .356 .619
as PH 31 .231 .355 .423
as PH for DH 4 .333 .500 .333
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/21/2012.

Miranda's Vaqueros Laguna team is currently 18.5 games behind the North Division leading Sultanes de Monterrey.

The Right Fielder in Monterrey most nights is Karim Garcia, a 36-year old native Mexican, born in Ciudad Obregon.

Dodger fans of a certain age remember Garcia as a young prospect who started hitting as a 20 and 21-year old in Triple-A. The Arizona Diamondbacks made him the 9th pick in the expansion draft with Colorado.

About a month after the draft, the D'backs traded him to Detroit for a soon-to-be Diamondback Legend, Luis Gonzalez.

Karim Garcia made his Major League debut at 19 and bounced around for 10 years, but he hasn't been back to the Show since 2004. Here's are his Monterrey numbers over the last year plus:

Karim Garcia 2011 and 2012 Batting
Year Tm PA BA OBP SLG
2011 Monterrey 241 .322 .432 .528
2012 Monterrey 415 .334 .383 .584
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/21/2012.

Karim Garcia at 37 would be an awesome comeback story if he made it back to the big leagues next year. At least the Sugar Land Skeeters should put in a phone call.

Cutting it in the Mexican Leagues
Karim Garcia has basically put together two careers.


The first-place team of the Mexican League's South Division are the exalted, and defending champion, Tigres de Quintana Roo.

The staff leader in ERA and strikeout-to-walk ratio for Quintana Roo is 32-year old Bobby Cramer, who sports a 2.22 ERA and 5:1 K:BB. The left-handed control specialist has the best chance at a Major League rebirth, with the most recent success at that level.

Cutting it in the Mexican Leagues
Bobby Cramer is a 32-year old left-hander with good control. He'll be back.



Cramer pitched for the Oakland A's in 2010 and '11. He has a career 2.53 ERA and 165 ERA+, albeit across just 32 innings.

Alright fans, time for you to speak up. Who are your favorite players in the Mexican Leagues? Mine was Reggie Abercrombie before he joined the Sioux Falls Pheasants. What, you don't follow the Mexican Leagues?

Prepping the Hot Stove

At this time of year, baseball fans of leading teams spend a few minutes now and then daydreaming of postseason possibilities. Summer is easier to let go of when Autumn strikes if your baseball team is in contention.

Fans of teams like the Chicago Cubs learn to lean on the hot stove. Let's throw together a quick guide for fans of teams who aren't more likely thinking about December than October.

Our first impression of the 2013 potential free agents list is that most will be entering, or are beyond, their post-prime seasons. The only players listed below who will be under 29 next season are Zack Greinke, Melky Cabrera, and B.J. Upton.

Prepping the Hot Stove
Would you want your team to commit
big dollars to 36-year old Pierzynski?
This could be a treacherous offseason for the teams looking to retool in free agency, as several upcoming contracts could be rapidly regrettable.

What follows are our choices for the best 2013 Free Agents by position, with their 2013 age in parenthesis.

For a comprehensive list from MLBtraderumors, click here.

Catcher
Mike Napoli (31)
A.J. Pierzynski (36)
Russell Martin (30)
David Ross (36)
Chris Iannetta (30) - $5M club option / player can void

First basemen
Lance Berkman (36)
Adam LaRoche (33) - $10M mutual option
Carlos Pena (35)

Second basemen
Kelly Johnson (31)
Jeff Keppinger (33)

Shortstops
Stephen Drew (30) - $10M mutual option

Third basemen
Kevin Youkilis (34) - $13M club option / $1M buyout
Placido Polanco (37) - $5.5M mutual option
Mark Reynolds (29) - $11MM club option /$500K buyout
Eric Chavez (35)
Scott Rolen (38)

Left fielders
Josh Hamilton (32)
Ryan Ludwick (34) - mutual option

Center fielders
Prepping the Hot Stove
What will teams do with B.J. Upton,
who flashes tools and talent along
with underwhelming performance?
Michael Bourn (30)
Melky Cabrera (28)
B.J. Upton (28)
Shane Victorino (32)

Right fielders
Nick Swisher (32)
Cody Ross (32)
Torii Hunter (37)
Ichiro Suzuki (39)

Designated hitters
David Ortiz (38)
Travis Hafner (36) - $13M club option / $2.75M buyout
Jim Thome (42)

Starting pitchers
Zack Greinke (28)
Edwin Jackson (29)
Hiroki Kuroda (38)
Jake Peavy (31) - $22M club option / $4M buyout
Ryan Dempster (36)
Brandon McCarthy (29)
Anibal Sanchez (29)
Kyle Lohse (34)
Francisco Liriano (29)
Shaun Marcum (31)
Erik Bedard (34)

Relief pitchers
Rafael Soriano (33) - $14M player option
Mike Adams (34)
Mariano Rivera (43)
Jose Valverde (35)
Sean Burnett (30) - $3.5M mutual option
Fernando Rodney (36)
Jonathan Broxton (29)
Ryan Madson (32) - $11M mutual option
Joel Peralta (37)
J.P. Howell (28)

The following players have options we believe will be exercised. In the event the options are not picked up, these players would enter the free agent pool.

Robinson Cano (30) - $15M club option
David Wright (30) - $16M club option
Brian McCann (29) - $12M club option
Curtis Granderson (32) - $13M club option
Dan Haren (32) - $15.5M club option
Tim Hudson (37) - $9M club option
R.A. Dickey (38) - $5M club option
James Shields (31) - $9M club option
Paul Maholm (31) - $6.5M club option
Joakim Soria (29) - $8M club option
Gavin Floyd (30) - $9.5M club option
Grant Balfour (35) - $4.5M club option
Scott Feldman (29) - $9.25M club option
J.J. Putz (36) - $6.5M club / $1.5M buyout
Jhonny Peralta (31) - $6M club option
Jorge De La Rosa (32) - $11M player option
Jose Molina (37) - $1.5M club option
Matt Lindstrom (33) - $4M club option

Prepping the Hot Stove
How many top free agents will
Jeffrey Loria sign this off season?
Our top five potential free agents right now are:

1. Josh Hamilton
2. Zack Greinke
3. Edwin Jackson
4. Michael Bourn
5. Mike Napoli

How would you rank the upcoming free agent class? Which players look like the wisest investments? Who are the Marlins and Dodgers going to get?

Grading the Trade Deadline of 2008

Everyone says you can't judge trade deadline, or draft class, winners and losers immediately, but baseball pundits still crank them our for major publications, like Sports Illustrated or ESPN.

The reasons for the existing of these rash writings are twofold:

1. They're fun. People like to read them.
2. They help maintain/increase readership.

As Dan Evans put it a couple of weeks ago, "It's fun to talk about transaction winners and losers, but no one really knows which is which, since it sometimes takes years after a deal for its full effects to become known."

If you're going to drink a macrobrew, drink a Michelob. If you're going to read a macroblog, read Jay Jaffe's on SI.

Grading the Trade Deadline of 2008
Mike Trout's future was affected in 2008

Before getting into the transactions, a little context:

The 2007 postseason had the Diamondbacks sweep the Cubs, the Rockies sweep the Phillies and D'backs, to promptly get swept by the Red Sox in an altogether forgettable World Series for anyone outside of Red Sox Nation.

*~*~*

Teams began retooling through November trades. Among the more memorable moves of the month, the Phillies and Astros completed a five-player trade revolving around Michael Bourn and Brad Lidge.

The Angels swapped slick-fielding shortstop, Orlando Cabrera, for a steady rotation presence in Jon Garland.

Grading the Trade Deadline of 2008
Matt Garza was huge for the
worst-to-first Tampa Bay Rays
In a six-player trade, the Devil Rays wisely acquired Matt Garza and Jason Bartlett for Delmon Young.

On December 3rd, the White Sox struck gold by trading Chris Carter to Arizona for Carlos Quentin. You may remember, Quentin put up a 149 OPS+ for the '08 Sox, en route to a 5th place American League MVP finish.

The 2007-08 off-season was not one of the finest in the history of the New York Yankees. Right before the owners meetings, they gave up on current stud reliever, Tyler Clippard, after a 6.33 ERA across 59.3 innings, with an unsightly 17/18 BB/K ratio. The Yankees also acquired Jonathan Albadejo from the Nationals, but he only gave the them 59.3 innings of below average pitching over the next three years. Ten days later, the Yankees gave up on John Axford with an outright release. It's not clear why no other team picked up Axford until after the 2007 season, but he apparently spent that summer as a cell phone salesman.

The same day the Nationals acquired Tyler Clippard, the Tigers and Marlins executed one of the biggest trades in baseball history. Detroit sent six prospects, including Andrew Miller and Cameron Maybin, to Florida for Miguel Cabrera and Dontrelle Willis. The D-Train's career derailed in Detroit, but the rare talents of Miguel Cabrera are still driving Motown.

Grading the Trade Deadline of 2008
We've discussed this deal before.

*~*~*

A few more big offseason deals leading into 2008:

The Astros acquired Jose Valverde.

St. Louis traded Jim Edmonds to San Diego for future World Series MVP, David Freese.

Grading the Trade Deadline of 2008
David Freese his .302/.400/.489 for Lake Elsinore before the
Cardinals traded one of their all-time fan favorites for him.

The D'backs flipped Chris Carter, along with Carlos Gonzalez, Brett Anderson, Dana Eveland, Greg Smith, and more to Oakland for Dan Haren. So, in the same month, one team struck gold trading Chris Carter and another team struck gold when trading for him. In hindsight, CarGo alone is a phenomenal haul.

The swapping of Edison Volquez for Josh Hamilton by Texas and Cincinnati was the last trade of 2007.

*~*~*

Not only did Oakland get a king's ransom for Dan Haren in December, on January 3rd, Billy Beane traded Nick Swisher to the White Sox for a few guys, including Gio Gonzalez. Looking back at December 2007 and January 2008, we may want to remove the "surprising" tag from the 2012 A's.

*~*~*

February had two trades of note. On Groundhog Day, Omar Minaya gave away what amounted to a bunch of spare parts for Johan Santana.

Grading the Trade Deadline of 2008
Erik Bedard's 2007 stats could spark a blog post topic
Six days later, the Mariners tried to improve their Major League product by trading Adam Jones, George Sherrill, and Chris Tillman to the Baltimore Orioles for an impressive Erik Bedard. In Bedard's last season in Baltimore, he was virtually unhittable, holding opposing batters to a .212 batting average, while striking out 221*.

*I wonder how many times a player struck out more batters than his Batting Average Against. Hmmmm?

Those were all the notable trades before Opening Day.

To finish our context portion of the program, we'd like to point out that the Tampa Bay Devil Rays had the lowest Winning Percentage in 2007.

Here are the 2007 MLB Standings

Rk Tm W L W-L% R RA Rdiff SRS pythWL 1Run
1 BOS 96 66 .593 5.4 4.1 1.3 1.6 101-61 22-28
2 CLE 96 66 .593 5.0 4.3 0.7 0.8 91-71 29-24
3 LAA 94 68 .580 5.1 4.5 0.6 0.8 90-72 25-19
4 NYY 94 68 .580 6.0 4.8 1.2 1.4 97-65 18-21
5 ARI 90 72 .556 4.4 4.5 -0.1 -0.3 79-83 32-20
6 COL 90 73 .552 5.3 4.7 0.6 0.4 91-72 19-19
7 PHI 89 73 .549 5.5 5.1 0.4 0.2 87-75 14-23
8 SDP 89 74 .546 4.5 4.1 0.5 0.2 89-74 23-26
9 SEA 88 74 .543 4.9 5.0 -0.1 0.2 79-83 27-20
10 NYM 88 74 .543 5.0 4.6 0.3 0.1 86-76 22-15
11 DET 88 74 .543 5.5 4.9 0.6 0.8 89-73 27-19
12 CHC 85 77 .525 4.6 4.3 0.4 -0.1 87-75 23-22
13 ATL 84 78 .519 5.0 4.5 0.5 0.2 88-74 18-25
14 MIL 83 79 .512 4.9 4.8 0.2 -0.2 83-79 22-21
15 TOR 83 79 .512 4.6 4.3 0.3 0.7 87-75 29-25
16 LAD 82 80 .506 4.5 4.5 0.0 -0.1 82-80 28-20
17 MIN 79 83 .488 4.4 4.5 0.0 0.2 80-82 22-22
18 STL 78 84 .481 4.5 5.1 -0.6 -1.0 71-91 16-20
19 OAK 76 86 .469 4.6 4.7 -0.1 0.2 79-83 25-24
20 TEX 75 87 .463 5.0 5.2 -0.2 0.1 79-83 26-18
21 HOU 73 89 .451 4.5 5.0 -0.6 -0.9 72-90 25-26
22 WSN 73 89 .451 4.2 4.8 -0.7 -0.8 70-92 27-24
23 CHW 72 90 .444 4.3 5.2 -0.9 -0.5 67-95 16-26
24 CIN 72 90 .444 4.8 5.3 -0.4 -0.7 75-87 26-24
25 FLA 71 91 .438 4.9 5.5 -0.6 -0.8 72-90 22-24
26 SFG 71 91 .438 4.2 4.4 -0.2 -0.3 77-85 24-28
27 BAL 69 93 .426 4.7 5.4 -0.7 -0.3 71-91 13-31
28 KCR 69 93 .426 4.4 4.8 -0.4 -0.2 74-88 21-22
29 PIT 68 94 .420 4.5 5.2 -0.8 -1.1 70-92 16-22
30 TBD 66 96 .407 4.8 5.8 -1.0 -0.5 67-95 22-21
Avg 81 81 .500 4.8 4.8 81-81 22-22
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/14/2012.

*~*~*

We enter the 2008 trade deadline season on July 7th, the day Cleveland sent a homegrown southpaw pitching machine, CC Sabathia, to Milwaukee for Matt LaPorta, a couple of other guys, and a player to be named later: Michael Brantley.

Grading the Trade Deadline of 2008
CC Sabathia did great things during his time in Milwaukee

That morning, the teams in place for a playoff birth were Tampa Bay, Boston, White Sox, and the Angels in the American League, while the National League would've been represented by Philadelphia, the Cubs, Cardinals, and a 2-way tie for the NL West lead by the 44-45 Diamondbacks and Dodgers.

The Cardinals were the only team in 2008 to miss the postseason after being in playoff position on July 7th.

As we are about to unveil our rankings of the the 2008 Trade Deadline Winners and Losers, we present the final standings for the 2008 regular season.

Rk Tm W L W-L% R RA Rdiff SRS pythWL 1Run
1 LAA 100 62 .617 4.7 4.3 0.4 0.7 88-74 31-21
2 CHC 97 64 .602 5.3 4.2 1.1 0.8 98-63 24-22
3 TBR 97 65 .599 4.8 4.1 0.6 1.1 92-70 29-18
4 BOS 95 67 .586 5.2 4.3 0.9 1.3 95-67 22-23
5 PHI 92 70 .568 4.9 4.2 0.7 0.4 93-69 27-23
6 MIL 90 72 .556 4.6 4.3 0.4 0.1 87-75 28-17
7 NYM 89 73 .549 4.9 4.4 0.5 0.1 89-73 16-19
8 NYY 89 73 .549 4.9 4.5 0.4 0.8 87-75 27-18
9 CHW 89 74 .546 5.0 4.5 0.5 0.9 89-74 22-17
10 MIN 88 75 .540 5.1 4.6 0.5 0.8 89-74 26-26
11 HOU 86 75 .534 4.4 4.6 -0.2 -0.4 77-84 21-21
12 TOR 86 76 .531 4.4 3.8 0.6 1.1 93-69 24-32
13 STL 86 76 .531 4.8 4.5 0.3 0.0 86-76 24-28
14 FLA 84 77 .522 4.8 4.8 0.0 -0.3 81-80 24-19
15 LAD 84 78 .519 4.3 4.0 0.3 -0.1 87-75 19-24
16 ARI 82 80 .506 4.4 4.4 0.1 -0.4 82-80 22-23
17 CLE 81 81 .500 5.0 4.7 0.3 0.6 85-77 14-17
18 TEX 79 83 .488 5.6 6.0 -0.4 -0.1 76-86 28-18
19 OAK 75 86 .466 4.0 4.3 -0.3 0.1 76-85 25-24
20 KCR 75 87 .463 4.3 4.8 -0.6 -0.1 72-90 20-18
21 COL 74 88 .457 4.6 5.1 -0.5 -0.9 74-88 25-20
22 CIN 74 88 .457 4.3 4.9 -0.6 -0.8 72-90 28-20
23 DET 74 88 .457 5.1 5.3 -0.2 0.1 78-84 16-25
24 SFG 72 90 .444 4.0 4.7 -0.7 -1.1 68-94 31-21
25 ATL 72 90 .444 4.6 4.8 -0.2 -0.5 79-83 11-30
26 BAL 68 93 .422 4.9 5.4 -0.5 0.0 73-88 21-29
27 PIT 67 95 .414 4.5 5.5 -0.9 -1.1 67-95 22-21
28 SDP 63 99 .389 3.9 4.7 -0.8 -1.2 68-94 16-28
29 SEA 61 101 .377 4.1 5.0 -0.9 -0.5 67-95 18-30
30 WSN 59 102 .366 4.0 5.1 -1.1 -1.4 62-99 20-29
Avg 80 80 .500 4.6 4.7 81-80 22-22
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/6/2012.

*~*~*

Grading the 2008 MLB Trade Deadline
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
Notable acquisitions: Mark Teixeira
Notable losses: Casey Kotchman
Grade: A+
The Angels acquisition for Mark Teixeira was a huge plus. This cannot be overstated. There are multiple ways of measuring how this trade benefited the Angels. On the field, let's put it this way: Casey Kotchman, in 100 games, reached base safely 130 times. Mark Teixeira, in about half the number of games (54), reached base safely 105 times.

We've discussed what an unmitigated disaster the Teixeira experiment was for the Atlanta Braves. First, they trade killer prospects to Texas (Neftali Feliz, Elvis Andrus, Matt Harrison, and Jarrod Saltalamacchia) for a tiny portion of Teixeira's career (157 games). They then flipped him to Atlanta for Casey freaking Kotchman, passing on their rights to compensatory draft picks they'd get if/when Teixeira left via free agency.

So, the Angels capitalize by getting Teixeira for a lopsided fraction of what the Braves paid, and they received two compensation picks in the 2009 draft for "losing" Teixeira to the Yankees in free agency. YANKEE and BRAVES FANS, LOOK AWAY. The Angels received the #25 and #40 overall as compensation picks. The 40th pick was Tyler Scaggs, whom the Angels used in a trade for Dan Haren. LOOK AWAY, YANKEE and BRAVES FANS. The 25th pick turned out to be Mike Trout, who just turned 21 last week, and is arguably the best player in baseball.

Imagine trading Casey Kotchman for a player used in a package to acquire Dan Haren, and Mark Teixeira for half a season before turning him into the rights to Mike Trout. Tony Reagins did that during his first trade deadline as VP/General Manager, after replacing Bill Stoneman in October '07.

Milwaukee Brewers
Notable acquisitions: CC Sabathia, Ray Durham
Notable losses: Michael Brantley, Matt LaPorta
Grade: A
The Brewers gave up a little bit. Michael Brantley looks like he has some decent seasons ahead of him. Yet, they acquired one of the best rental players of all time in CC Sabathia who got Milwaukee to thier first postseason since the hey day of Molitor and Yount.

In 2008, Milwaukee was the only contender who made a trade in July that vaulted them into the postseason. Sabathia proved valiant in September, routinely throwing on short rest and dominating the National League. He was gassed in the postseason, but the Cardinals would have been the Wild Card if the Brewers hadn't traded for Sabathia.

Cleveland Indians
Grading the Trade Deadline of 2008
Carlos Santana was a STAR prospect
Notable acquisitions: Carlos Santana, Michael Brantley, Matt LaPorta
Notable losses: CC Sabathia, Casey Blake
Grade: A
The Indians received a decent haul from the Brewers for Sabathia, but it was the Casey Blake for Carlos Santana trade that's most worthy of acclaim.

Carlos Santana has already been productive enough in his young Indians career to be the trading steal of the season.

Philadelphia Phillies
Notable acquisitions: Joe Blanton
Notable losses: Josh Outman
Grade: A
Joe Blanton's never been a sexy pick, but his contributions to the Phillies winning the World Series were grand.

Let's attribute this to luck, but in the regular season, the Phillies had a .692 Winning Percentage in Joe Blanton starts (and a .557 when everyone else pitched). They also won all three games that Blanton started in the postseason.

Chicago Cubs
Notable acquisitions: Rich Harden
Notable losses: none
Grade: B+
Since Harden's injury bug followed him to Chicago, and the Cubs never won a postseason game with him on the roster (or since), people forget how well he pitched for the team.

After the trade, Harden started 12 games for the Cubs, going 5-1 with a 1.77 ERA. The team won 9 of his 12 starts, and his excellent pitching computed to a career best 258 ERA+.

What the Cubs sent to Oakland pales in comparison to what Beane has gotten for other graduating Aces. Matt Murton, Sean Gallagher and Eric Patterson never achieved consistent success at the Major League level. Had the A's done better in the Rich Harden trade, they would probably be in first place in the AL West right now.

The Harden deal was a good win for Jim Hendry's front office. Much like his counterpart on the South Side, however, his inability to improve the team further doomed the club to a first-round sweep at the hands of another NL West foe.

Houston Astros
Notable acquisitions: Randy Wolf, LaTroy Hawkins
Notable losses: none
Grade: B+
Seeing that your team gave up very little of consequence, a few years after a trade, provides a pretty good feeling. Randy Wolf and LaTroy Hawkins are by no means the elite, best of the best, but they were pretty fantastic for the 2008 Astros. Randy Wolf pitched to a 119 ERA+, and the Astros went 10-2 in the dozen games he started.

LaTroy Hawkins somehow was able to pitch 21 innings for the '08 'Stros, giving up just 1 earned run, with a 5:1 K:BB ratio, and getting credit for an out of this world 999 ERA+.

Boston Red Sox
Notable acquisitions: Jason Bay
Notable losses: Manny Ramirez
Grade: B
Grading the Trade Deadline of 2008
Like for most Red Sox,
it's been a trying year
for Anthony Ranaudo
After arriving to the conclusion that Manny Ramirez only cared about a contract extension, the Red Sox made the most out of a bad situation.

Jason Bay, for all his faults, was as productive as he's ever been in his one and a half seasons in Boston.

The Red Sox also received a 2010 compensation pick after losing Jason Bay. Anthony Ranaudo still has a chance to develop into a useful Major League pitcher, but he's struggled with this year with 6.5 BB/9 and 1.0 K/BB ratios in Double-A. Adding injury to poor control, Ranaudo may be out for the season after injuring his shoulder.

Cincinnati Reds
Notable acquisitions: Nick Masset
Notable losses: Ken Griffey Jr
Grade: B
At 38 years old, Ken Griggey Jr didn't have many bullets left in his chamber. He didn't have the power of his youth, hitting just 3 Homeruns in 41 games for the White Sox. In exchange, the Reds obtained a valuable bullpen arm who wound up delivering a 3.07 ERA in over 240 innings through last year.

Nick Masset has been injured all season. He's recently started pitching in minor league games and should be back in Cincinnati for the stretch run.

Chicago White Sox
Notable acquisitions: Ken Griffey Jr
Notable losses: Nick Masset
Grade: B-
While Ken Griffey didn't fill up the box scores for the White Sox, he was a welcome presence in the clubhouse, he had a reasonable .347 On Base Percentage, and the team won the division to qualify for the playoffs by just 1 game. Had Kenny Williams acquired more pieces, they might have defeated the Rays in the first round and followed their path to the World Series. What isn't clear is how close the White Sox were to any other moves, and how much of their future would it have cost them?

Los Angeles Dodgers
Notable acquisitions: Manny Ramirez, Casey Blake
Notable losses: Carlos Santana, Andy LaRoche
Grade: C+
Grading the Trade Deadline of 2008
Manny's a world class weirdo
If you live east of Rancho Cucamonga, it's easy to forget what a phenomenon MannyWood was that first time around.

After teabagging his way out of Boston, Man-Ram helped get the Dodgers into the playoffs by batting .396/.489/.743 for Joe Torre's Dodgers, good for a 221 OPS+.

Like most Hollywood sequels, the rest of Ramirez's career couldn't match the first-run success.

More troubling for the franchise was the Carlos Santana for Casey Blake trade. Blake was pretty good for the Dodgers, but Carlos Santana at catcher would have helped out tremendously after Russell Martin fell out of favor.

Washington Nationals
Notable acquisitions: Emilio Bonifacio
Notable losses: Jon Rauch
Grade: C
We like to give Jim Bowden a hard time around here because he's kind of a boob on TV, and when he was an executive, he made a few disastrous moves that looked bad at the time. This move from July 22, 2008 set off a positive change of events for his club. The Nationals were a last place team in 2008, and they didn't need a closer who was going to get expensive. In the offseason, Bowden flipped Bonifacio, Jake Smolinski, and P.J. Dean for Josh Willingham and Scott Olsen. Olsen fell apart, but Willingham was really good in DC for two years.

Arizona Diamondbacks
Notable acquisitions: Tony Clark, Jon Rauch
Notable losses: Emilio Bonifacio
Grade: C-
The talent of the players being acquired declines significantly after Jason Bay. To Diamondbacks' management, Tony Clark must've resembled a rabbit's foot. He was said to be a good leader for the 2007 D'Backs club. After going to San Diego as a free agent, he was traded back to Arizona for the '08 stretch.

Unfortunately, for Arizona, Tony Clark couldn't really hit anymore, and Jon Rauch blew up to the tune of a 6.56 ERA.

While they didn't give up any future stars, the D'Backs finished the season two games behind the Dodgers.

New York Yankees
Grading the Trade Deadline of 2008
Brian Cashman look
like Michael Scott here.
Notable acquisitions: Xavier Nady, Damaso Marte, Ivan Rodriguez
Notable losses: Jeff Karstens, Daniel McCutchen, Ross Ohlendorf, Jose Tabata, Kyle Farnsworth, LaTroy Hawkins.
Grade: D
It's no secret that 2008 was one of the most disappointing* in recent history for Yankee fans.

*The Yankees have been in the postseason every year since 1994, except 2008.

The front office could not to overcome their lousy offseason with shrewd moves in July. Nady, Marte, and Pudge 2.0 combined for 0.1 Wins Above Replacement, according to Baseball-Reference.

The Yankees didn't wind up giving up a future superstar, like Carlos Santana, but they gave up a lot of talent. The opportunity cost alone is crushing.

Oakland A's
Notable acquisitions: Josh Outman
Notable losses: Rich Harden
Grade: D
The Rich Harden deal was a shame for A's fans. He was pitching well in 2008, but since his salary was going to rise to about $7 million for the 2009 season, the A's were forced to make a deal for younger, less expensive reinforcements.

Grading the Trade Deadline of 2008
Billy Beane is always
ready to make a deal
In contrast to the successful deals they had been able to complete in similar situations, this time, they came away relatively empty handed.

July was not as kind to the A's as December and January had been, but getting Josh Outman back, in the Joe Blanton deal, helped the A's recoup some of their losses from the trade with Chicago.

San Diego Padres
Notable acquisitions: none
Notable losses: Tony Clark, Randy Wolf
Grade: D-
The Padres unloaded Randy Wolf, when he still had some good mileage left in his left arm. The got Chad Reineke in return, but he's been a fixture in the rotation of the Reds' Triple-AAA team, the Louisville Bats, for a few years.

The Padres weren't in a position to demand much for Tony Clark, and agreed on Evan Scribner. In 2011, Scribner spent a couple of months mopping up the Padres bullpen. Unfortunately, he produced a 7.07 ERA. While he never blew a lead, the team lost all ten games in which Scribner pitched.

*~*~*

All other teams were relatively inactive. Tampa Bay, who made it to the World Series, made their big stride developing homegrown talent and the offseason deal of Delmon Young for Matt Garza and Jason Bartlett.

If you got to this part of the post, wow. Thank you! How did you do it? Please add to the discussion in the comments section. Did we make any mistakes? Where did we grade too leniently or harshly?

Next season, we'll take a look at the 2009 trade deadline.

2013 Hall of Fame Ballot

There's a lot of exciting stuff we could be talking about right now. Namely, Ichiro Suzuki was just traded to the Yankees. Ryan Dempster was almost traded to the Braves. Perhaps most notably, the Tigers upped the ante by acquiring Anibal Sanchez and Omar Infante. In time, we'll know if the Tigers will regret trading Jacob Turner like when they traded John Smoltz to the Braves 25 years ago.

These transactions are a lot to process, and there are more interesting places to read into what has, will, and might happen.

We're still riding the excitement of yesterday's Hall of Fame induction and will set the table for this winter's Hall of Fame vote.

Below is a peek at the 2013 Hall of Fame Ballot.

Batting Stats Pitching Stats
YoB ▾ %vote WAR OPS OPS+ ERA ERA+
Dale Murphy 15th 14.5% 42.6 .815 121
Jack Morris 14th 66.7% 39.3 .000 -100 3.90 105
Don Mattingly 13th 17.8% 39.8 .830 127
Alan Trammell 12th 36.8% 67.1 .767 110
Lee Smith 11th 50.6% 27.6 .183 -50 3.03 132
Mark McGwire 7th 19.5% 58.7 .982 163
Tim Raines 6th 48.7% 66.2 .810 123
Edgar Martinez 4th 36.5% 64.4 .933 147
Fred McGriff 4th 23.9% 48.2 .886 134
Jeff Bagwell 3rd 56.0% 76.7 .948 149
Larry Walker 3rd 22.9% 69.7 .965 141
Rafael Palmeiro 3rd 12.6% 66.1 .885 132
Bernie Williams 2nd 9.6% 45.9 .858 125
Barry Bonds 1st 158.1 1.051 182
Roger Clemens 1st 133.9 .443 17 3.12 143
Curt Schilling 1st 76.1 .348 -9 3.46 127
Kenny Lofton 1st 64.9 .794 107
Craig Biggio 1st 62.1 .796 112
Mike Piazza 1st 56.1 .922 143
Sammy Sosa 1st 54.8 .878 128
David Wells 1st 49.2 .289 -22 4.13 108
Steve Finley 1st 40.4 .775 104 0.00
Julio Franco 1st 39.7 .782 111
Reggie Sanders 1st 36.7 .830 115
Jeff Cirillo 1st 32.0 .796 102 0.00
Shawn Green 1st 31.4 .850 120
Woody Williams 1st 28.1 .489 29 4.19 103
Ryan Klesko 1st 24.6 .870 128
Aaron Sele 1st 17.5 .386 1 4.61 100
Roberto Hernandez 1st 17.2 1.000 166 3.45 131
Royce Clayton 1st 16.4 .679 78
Jeff Conine 1st 16.2 .789 107
Bob Wickman 1st 15.4 .000 -100 3.57 126
Mike Stanton 1st 13.3 .735 96 3.92 112
Mike Lieberthal 1st 13.3 .783 101
Sandy Alomar 1st 11.6 .716 86
Tony Batista 1st 11.3 .752 93
Jose Mesa 1st 9.6 .333 -3 4.36 100
Steve Kline 1st 9.2 .357 -8 3.51 125
Todd Walker 1st 8.3 .783 98
Damian Miller 1st 7.7 .740 89
Mike Myers 1st 7.6 .000 -100 4.29 112
Preston Wilson 1st 4.6 .797 103
Jaret Wright 1st 3.5 .376 -3 5.09 90
Antonio Alfonseca 1st 3.0 .286 -24 4.11 104
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 7/23/2012.

Who are your picks to get inducted next year? More specifically, whom would you vote for, and who do you think will get voted in?

Add your comments below, or hit us up on twitter.

Player of the Fortnight

We're a little more than two weeks past the All Star break. So, it's as good a time as any to hand out some virtual hardware.

About a month ago, our winners were Carlos Beltran, R.A. Dickey, Trevor Plouffe, and Yu Darvish. Who will supplant them this time around?

NL Batter of the Fortnight
Andrew McCutchen, Pirates
Player of the Fortnight
Our first-half MVP started
the second-half red hot.
The Pirates are pressing on, as Andrew McCutchen's teammate, Neil Walker, providing the best competition. While Walker lead the NL with a .500 Batting Average and .561 On Base Percentage, McCutchen lead the league with his .972 Slugging, .606 wOBA, and 6 Homeruns.

Honorable mention: Neil Walker, David Wright, Ryan Zimmerman, and David Freese.

NL Pitcher of the Fortnight
Homer Bailey, Reds
Perhaps turning the corner to dependable Major Leaguer, Homer Bailey has won his last four starts. Over the past fourteen days, he's 3-0, with a 1.59 ERA, 2 walks, and 20 strikeouts. Offense must have been up in the National League the past two weeks, as we've seen more dominant performances in the past.

Honorable mention: Jordan Zimmermann, Aroldis Chapman, and Paul Maholm.

Player of the Fortnight
Homer Bailey is surviving life with Dusty Baker.

AL Batter of the Fortnight
Yoenis Cespedes, Athletics
Player of the Fortnight
Happy Yoenis is happy.
The Rookie from Cuba lead the Majors in wOBA the past two weeks, at .613. Plus, he lead the American LEague in all three slash categories, AVG/OBP/SLG: .529/.568/.853. One telling statistic that could harbor future success is that Cespedes cut his strikeout rate in half. For the season, he is striking out in 20.5% of his plate appearances and only struck out 10.8% of the time this past fortnight.

Honorable mention: Mike Trout, Michael Brantley, Luke Scott, Albert Pujols, Prince Fielder, and Josh Willingham.

AL Pitcher of the Fortnight
Felix Hernandez, Mariners
The King has been a workhorse since the ASG, leading the league with 24 2/3 innings pitched. In three starts, he's 2-0 with a 0.73 ERA. The Twins' Francisco Liriano made a strong case to win, by striking out 45.5% of the batters he faced the past two weeks, but unlike Liriano, Felix actually won a game, walked fewer batters, and gave up zero home runs.

Honorable mention: Francisco Liriano, Justin Verlander, Clay Buchholz, and Roy Oswalt.

Player of the Fortnight
King Felix is pitching to more contact and succeeding.

Fun with Platoon Splits

We still have time for one more All-Star break statistical post before the second half of the season begins with this afternoon's Diamondbacks/Cubs game at Wrigley Field.

The other day, someone on Twitter asked if anyone has a bigger platoon split than Jared Burton, who has a .384 OPS vs right-handed hitters and a .856 OPS versus lefties.

After a little sleuthing, I found that overall, there were several pitchers with larger split differentials, but very few innings pitched. Jared Burton pitched 35.3 innings in the first half this season. Out of anyone who has pitched that many innings, or more, only one player had a larger split differential, his teammate, Liam Hendriks who threw 38.3 innings, pitched to a 1.209 OPS vs RHH and a .664 OPS vs LHH. What a coincidence that these two guys would be teammates.

Taking this exercise a bit further, I wanted to look at players who have thrown more innings. So, we looked up pitchers who threw at least 20 innings against batters from each side of the plate and hitters with at least 60 plate appearances against both, righties and southpaws.

We will present our split differential "leaderboard" in a few moments, but first, it's important to keep in mind that these aren't really leaders. It's not a great achievement to have a big platoon split because it means you're struggling against players of a certain handedness. First, let's show the true splits leaders against each side, by OPS.

Best Pitchers vs LHH
Fun with Platoon Splits
That arm action can't be good for
Matt Harrison's shoulder or elbow.
Matt Harrison .431
Jered Weaver .445
Brandon Beachy .446
Madison Bumgarner .457
Ross Detwiler .481
Clayton Richard .498
Chris Sale .501
C.J. Wilson .526
Brian Matusz .539
David Price .540
Ryan Dempster .551

We stretched this list out to eleven because Ryan Dempster is on the trading block, and this type of mass publicity of success could lead to a better trade for the Cubbies.

Best Pitchers vs RHH
Fun with Platoon Splits
Mike Fiers has taken the National
League, particularly RHH, by storm.
Jake Peavy .469
Michael Fiers .481
Johnny Cueto .491
Robbie Ross .505
R.A. Dickey .511
Brandon McCarthy .517
Tom Wilhelmsen .539
Nathan Eovaldi .546
Matt Cain .550
Brandon Beachy .553
Lance Lynn .553

And, now, the pitchers with largest split differentials...

Brian Matusz .444 (.983 v RHH, .539 v LHH)
Jordan Lyles .403 (.645 v RHH, 1.048 v LHH)
Phil Hughes .378 (1.007 v RHH, .629 v LHH)
Matt Harrison .344 (.775 v RHH, .431 v LHH)
Kyle Drabek .337 (.988 v RHH, .651 v LHH)
Nathan Eovaldi .313 (.546 v RHH, .859 v LHH)
Mat Latos .306 (.570 v RHH, .876 v LHH)
Clayton Richard .301 (.799 v RHH, .498 v LHH)
Ross Detwiler .279 (.760 v RHH, .481 v LHH)
Gavin Floyd .272 (.624 v RHH, .896 v LHH)

Check out those reverse splits on Phil Hughes and Kyle Drabek. Something tells me that has to do with the success they derive from their cutters, and lack there of from other offerings.

Just for fun, let's look at hitters.

Best Hitters vs LHP
Andrew McCutchen 1.286
Paul Goldschmidt 1.284
Cody Ross 1.205
Melky Cabrera 1.194
Josh Willingham 1.165
Trevor Plouffe 1.147
Giancarlo Stanton 1.100
Matt Holliday 1.097
Edwin Encarnacion 1.086
Billy Butler 1.086

Best Hitters vs RHP
Robinson Cano 1.146
Joey Votto 1.145
Josh Hamilton 1.088
Carlos Gonzalez 1.055
David Ortiz 1.041
Paul Konerko 1.004
David Wright .996
Carlos Ruiz .989
Shin-Soo Choo .980
Mark Trumbo .978

Finally, batters with largest split differentials...

Justin Morneau .598 (.960 v RHP, .362 v LHP)
Paul Goldschmidt .568 (.716 v RHP, 1.284 v LHP)
Robinson Cano .521 (1.146 v RHP, .625 v LHP)
Cody Ross .455 (.750 v RHP, 1.205 v LHP)
David DeJesus .440 (.855 v RHP, .415 v LHP)
Shane Victorino .394 (.589 v RHP, .983 v LHP)
Melky Cabrera .394 (.800 v RHP, 1.194 v LHP)
Trevor Plouffe .391 (.756 v RHP, 1.147 v LHP)
Mark Ellis .385 (.587 v RHP, .972 v LHP)
Russell Martin .377 (.555 v RHP, .932 v LHP)

Fun with Platoon Splits
We're rooting for Justin Morneau
to get back to his balanced attack.
After closer inspection, it makes sense that some of the players with largest platoon split differentials are there because they struggle mightily versus one side (Hughes, Drabek, Morneau), and others have succeeded so much versus another (Harrison, Plouffe, Cabrera, etc.)

What's your take?

MLB Attendance Trends

Since the All-Star Game is the proverbial midway point of the season, let's take a look at per game attendance trends of each Major League club, compared to last season.

After the chart below, we'll try to make some sense of this.


Rk Tm 2011_AttendpGm 2012_AttendpGm DiffPerGame ▾
1 MIA 17,214 28,330 11,116
2 DET 28,506 36,866 8,360
3 WSN 22,469 29,678 7,209
4 TEX 36,971 43,608 6,637
5 LAD 36,084 40,839 4,755
6 BAL 21,180 25,746 4,566
7 KCR 19,224 23,559 4,335
8 STL 37,648 41,855 4,207
9 TOR 22,203 26,379 4,175
10 ARI 24,087 28,208 4,121
11 CIN 25,074 28,397 3,323
12 ATL 27,042 29,896 2,854
13 OAK 19,157 21,011 1,854
14 PIT 23,031 24,882 1,852
15 CHC 36,015 37,522 1,507
16 TBR 19,269 20,583 1,314
17 SDP 24,570 25,675 1,105
18 BOS 37,585 37,582 -3
19 SFG 41,718 41,637 -82
20 MIL 35,007 34,916 -92
21 SEA 22,074 21,940 -135
22 PHI 45,462 44,747 -715
23 COL 35,146 34,056 -1,090
24 CHW 24,377 23,091 -1,285
25 NYM 30,156 28,746 -1,410
26 NYY 43,821 42,235 -1,586
27 LAA 38,966 37,211 -1,755
28 CLE 21,107 19,256 -1,851
29 HOU 25,823 22,049 -3,774
30 MIN 39,218 34,904 -4,313
total 29,372 31,170 1,797
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 7/11/2012.

It's no surprise that the Marlins are at the top of their list, as their new ballpark - particularly the new location - has lead to increase ticket sales. The other thing we can infer from what we've seen this season is that the Marlins are near the top in the league in no-show's. It's reasonable to think that many people in South Florida caught Marlins fever this offseason, with the new ballpark and additions of Jose Reyes, Mark Buehrle, Heath Bell, and Ozzie Guillen, which led to increased sales of season tickets. The problem now, is that many of those people don't go to all of their games. As a season ticket holder for the Chicago Cubs, I can say that going to multiple games per week can become a chore. It's a process, but winning should make that easier, as well as transferring tickets to friends or buyers on the secondary market.

The Tigers investment in Prince Fielder hasn't helped in the standings, but they've sold a lot more tickets.

The Nationals are winning, and sitting pretty in first place.

The Rangers are still glowing from winning back-to-back AL Pennants, as their ticket sales reflect improvements on top of improvements last season.

Dodger fans in Southern California lifted their McCourt boycott, not that he's sold to Magic Johnson and Friends. Leading the division helps, too.

As for the teams whose ticket sales are under-performing from last season, Minnesota probably has the worst 25-man roster in the big leagues. Compounding their performance, this is the Twins' third season in Target Field. So, the novelty of the new ballpark is beginning to wear off. Keep in mind, we're talking about attendance trends. While the Twins have the worst difference in attendance from last season to this one, they still rank 6th in the American League in per game attendance.

Houston fans haven't been supporting the young Astros as much as we would have expected after their early season success. They lost 106 games last season. The team this year is playing better. The new front office is doing the right thing. Yet, they still haven't cracked 1,000,000 fans after 45 home games this year (9,992,220 tickets sold).

Indians fans have even more to be embarrassed about. Also after 45 home games, their paid attendance is the lowest in baseball, with only 866,535 tickets sold. Making matters worse, they are only 3 games out of first place and still can't support the team. I'd say something cruddy about Cleveland fans right now, but I have too much respect for Joe Posnanski.

The White Sox, Mets, Yankees, and Angels are also surprising to see trending downward. Chicago is in first place. The Mets are playing much better than 99% of people expected. The Yankees have the best record in all of baseball; their tickets are just too expensive. And, boy, did the Angels whiff on their attempt to make LA an Angels town. They had a higher per game attendance than the Dodgers last season, but are beneath them in 2012. It's safe to say those bilingual Albert Pujols billboards wont be a case study for CBS Outdoor.

MLB Attendance Trends
Maybe AM830 got a bump in ratings from this advertising.