Friday, January 3, 2014

Of Win Shares and WAR

Does it mean anything if WAR does not align with Win Shares?

Working on a project for another site, had me doing an analysis of Orel Hershiser, Bret Saberhagen, and Steve Garvey.

Bret Saberhagen 59 (4.6 per 200 IP)
Orel Hershiser 49 (3.1 per 200 IP)
Steve Garvey 38 (2.6 per 650 PA)

*Average of fWAR and rWAR

Career Win Shares
Garvey 279 (19.2 / 650 PA)
Hershiser 210 (13.4 / 200 IP)
Saberhagen 193 (15.1 / 200 IP)

As a rate stat, Win Shares has Saberhagen ahead of Hershiser.

Is it normal for Win Shares and WAR to disagree? Maybe it's as simple as the positional adjustment for first-basemen in WAR is so much higher. Has anyone else run across this before?

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