Friday, January 3, 2014

Of Win Shares and WAR

Does it mean anything if WAR does not align with Win Shares?

Working on a project for another site, had me doing an analysis of Orel Hershiser, Bret Saberhagen, and Steve Garvey.

avWAR*
Bret Saberhagen 59 (4.6 per 200 IP)
Orel Hershiser 49 (3.1 per 200 IP)
Steve Garvey 38 (2.6 per 650 PA)

*Average of fWAR and rWAR

Career Win Shares
Garvey 279 (19.2 / 650 PA)
Hershiser 210 (13.4 / 200 IP)
Saberhagen 193 (15.1 / 200 IP)

As a rate stat, Win Shares has Saberhagen ahead of Hershiser.

Is it normal for Win Shares and WAR to disagree? Maybe it's as simple as the positional adjustment for first-basemen in WAR is so much higher. Has anyone else run across this before?

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