Friday, February 25, 2011

2011 Roto Sleepers and Busts

A quick note before we get started. We'll likely be offline for the next couple of weeks because we'll be going on a two-week before-the-season-starts getaway to the other side of the world.

I'm not sure if they have baseball fields in Bali, but I guess we're about to find out.

LaPorta's got Power
Yesterday afternoon, I printed out the ESPN Mixed Positional Cheat Sheet so that I could look for sleepers and busts while riding the subway.

At the risk of losing some competitive advantage in fantasy leagues this year, here's what I'm thinking at the end of February.

First Basemen
Sleeper: Matt LaPorta
The prize from the C.C. Sabathia trade may be a late bloomer, but he's going to get more and more opportunities. Now, this isn't really relevant, and it may not even reflect how important LaPorta is to the Indians, but I thought it interesting enough to see that last season the Indians went 49-61 in games LaPorta played. In the 49 wins, LaPorta had 201 Plate Appearances, a .378 On Base Percentage, and .557 Slugging. In the 61 losses, LaPorta stepped up to the plate 224 times, accruing an anemic .241 OBP and .193 SLG.
Other sleepers: Kila Ka'aihue and Ike Davis

Bust: Ryan Howard, Phillies
There is a good chance that taking Ryan Howard will help your team win a title this year. He always hits lots of homers and should drive in plenty of RBI's. The issue is that he is an overrated, one-sided player, who struggles versus lefties.  Giving him the benefit of the doubt, he improved against southpaws in 2010, but for his career his triple slash line versus lefties is a paltry .232/.314/.452. (.303/.401/.636 vs righties).

Second Basemen
Sleeper: Neil Walker
Neil Walker can hit.
We got turned onto Walker's game late last season, much after his debut. At first, we thought he was just another replacement, or worse, level player the Pirates called up to play out the string of games in their 18th consecutive losing season.

Upon further review, Neil Walker looks like a real player. He produced a 118 OPS+ last year, which is very good for a rookie, a second baseman, or a Pirate.
Other sleepers: Bill Hall, Sean Rodriguez, and Tsuyoshi Nishioka

Bust: Brian Roberts
Okay, so maybe Brian Roberts has been a bust the last couple of years because of injuries and possible deterioration from steroid use. The reason he made this list is because I feel that roto players are still hoping for a bounceback season. Maybe it'll come, but I'd be wary that the steroid use was real and the back and neck injurie Roberts seems to battle aren't going anywhere.

Should we go on a longer limb with our bust caution? I also thought about Chase Utley. He has battled injuries the last couple of years, but still performed very well whenever possible. It could help that Ryne Sandberg is now coaching the Phillies triple-A squad and giving Utley pointers on how to excel at the keystone position in his mid 30's. Still, father time is undefeated and one of these years, Chase Utley's production is going to plummet. When that happens, I'd much rather own the next Neil Walker.

Third Basemen
Sleeper: Scott Rolen
We gave up on Rolen
a few years too soon.
I'm probably a year late here, as Rolen went undrafted in most leagues but performed at near All-Star levels. He made our list because he's going undrafted again, and I don't see why he can't, like Jake Taylor in Major League, have one more good year in the sun. He's in a wonderful hitter's park, has a manager who embraces veterans, and is a fantastic athlete and walking, talking Hall of Famer.

Bust: Michael Young
First of all, we do not know how a player who's played the infield for 10 years will perform when asked to essentially pinch hit four or five times a game. The transition to DH can be daunting for a lumbering outfielder, let alone a player who has played 2nd, 3rd, and short. Young carries an additional risk of being traded. He has requested a trade, and we do not know if that will be good or bad for his future playing time. It is conceivable to see him get sent somewhere to play 4 or 5 games per week, which won't help many fantasy owners.

Shortstops
Sleeper: J.J. Hardy
Hardy is always the SS I think should get more love from fantasy owner, and although he never really proves me right, I still think he has a career year hidden somewhere in his bat. No, I don't think we'll get mid-90's Garciaparra numbers, but he could produce decent ratios with 80+ runs/rbi's and 20+ HR's. He's on the Orioles now, and they have what looks to be a halfway decent lineup.

Bust: Derek Jeter
Okay, okay, I hear you. It's too easy to dump on the man after his worst season in baseball, when he's on the wrong side of 35. I'm not enojying this, Yankee fans, but the point remains that Jeter is widely considered the 4th best Shortstop, when he could very well finish ranked somewhere in the 8 to 12 range. At least, if he's healthy, he'll probably score more Runs than anyone other than Hanley and Tulo, due to the lineup he's in. If Elvis Andrus leads off or if J-Ro stays healthy in Philly, they would probably score more than the Captain, too.

Catchers
Salty is ready for his
career to take off.
Sleeper: Jarrod Saltalamacchia
The catcher position is chock full of sleepers. In fact, I wanted to write this as a tie between Salty and the Yankees' Russell Martin. If you really find yourself in a pickle on draft day and need to go deep for the catcher position, why not gamble on these former stud prospects who happen to hit in two of the most revered lineups in Baseball? Unless you play in a 2 catcher format, pickings will probably not be so slim at the end of your draft. In that case, I'd rank another handful of sleeper catchers as: Matt Wieters, Mike Napoli, Chris Iannetta, and J.P. Arencibia. I'm about 90% sure that Iannetta will not be picked in the Top 11 catchers, and he's underrated.

Note: if you see any mention of the Yankees adding Jesus Montero to their 25-man big league roster, see if you can pick him up. If you're in a keeper league, drop whatever you're doing and go get him.

Bust: Joe Mauer
Haters, don't hate. We love Joe Mauer. As the dude would say, we're using the royal we, the editorial we. Let me rephrase, we love Joe Mauer's game. The way he plays and carries himself. We love Joe Mauer and are beside ourselves when thinking about that beautiful swing. We've had Joe Mauer in our keeper league for over three years. Hopefully, he'll have another MVP season, and he really could. I expect him to be an All-Star again, but since he is the #1 catcher, he has the furthest to fall if he busts out. He would be the biggest bust if he did bust, and I don't see why he's any less of an injury risk than Victor Martinez, Brian McCann, or Buster Posey. After that, you get to Carlos Santana, Geovany Soto, and Miguel Montero before the Napoli, Wieters, Posada, Kurt Suzuki, and Carlos Ruiz groups.

Designated Hitter
Adam Lind's luck is gonna change!
Sleeper: Adam Lind
Bust: everyone else
This isn't a position on a normal fantasy team. These are the guys who do not qualify for any position because they play DH in real life. Fantasy players who have someone like Lind, Big Papi, Jim Thome, or Travis Hafner on their team must play them at the Util position, drastically impairing lineup flexibility. The funny thing is, Adam Lind wound up being an enormous bust last year. I expect that less than 4% of teams with Adam Lind won their league championships. He was dreadful, and that was when he still qualified for the Outfield in fantasy. I think he's going to bounce back closer to 2009 levels, plus he's going to spend some time playing 1st base, which means he'll earn eligibility there after a few weeks.

Outfield
Sleeper: Jason Heyward
The question of positional scarcity and depth is extremely vague when talking about Outfielders. I mean, how deep do we have to go to talk about sleepers? Heyward, of course, is not a sleeper in the traditional sense of the word. He was a rookie All Star last season. We showed how his BB% was the 4th highest of anyone who's played over the last 25 years, and that was his rookie season. In addition, we're finding out this spring that he basically played injured all year, last year. Jason Heyward had an all time great rookie year, but I feel as though he's being terribly underrated by the masses. ESPN has him ranked as the 14th best outfielder, but if he played last year with lower leg injuries and a bad thumb, and can stay healthy this year, he'll likely finish in the top 3.

Not your idea of what a sleeper means? That's okay. I like Dexter Fowler, Manny Ramirez, and Logan Morrison, in that order. How about Alex Gordon? This will could be the year Alex Gordon breaks out.

Dexter Fowler is like:
"I'm ready!"
There's a plethora of prospects and guys who could blossom if given enough playing time. It's tough to guess which of these guys will get regular at bats, but these are the one's we'll be keeping tabs on: Brandon Allen, Chris Carter, and Kyle Blanks.

If you're in an OBP league, how about Kosuke Fukudome? Career .368 OBP is not too bad.

Long-term keeper leagues will want to look at guys like Bryce Harper, Mike Trout, Jason Repko, and Ben Revere.

Bust: Josh Hamilton
Say no to drugs, people. Josh Hamilton is The Natural. Hyperbole aside, he is an amazing talent. Last season, he hit .359 with 32 Home Runs. He turns 30 on May 21st, but years of using and abusing drugs like cocaine, alcohol, crystal meth take a toll. Hamilton is more 30, going on 36.

It's getting pretty late, and I have got to get going to the airport. We'll look at pitchers after coming back from Bali. So, we'll probably be disconnected for a couple of weeks, although we may see a tweet, or a few, from various airports around the globe.

Thursday, February 24, 2011

Keep Your Nose Clean, MiggyCab

Earlier this evening, I read about Miguel Cabrera's apology from Tribune New Services. It sparked me to comment right away that I hope Cabrera cleans himself up and resumes his Hall of Fame career. As a courtesy to you, faithful readers, here's the crux of the HOF 'gument.

He's still only 27 years old, and Baseball-Reference's similar batters through Age 27 are:

Miguel Cabrera keeps Rare Company
Frank Robinson (930) *
Hank Aaron (928) *
Ken Griffey (922)
Hal Trosky (891)
Mickey Mantle (884) *
Albert Pujols (883)
Orlando Cepeda (879) *
Al Kaline (870) *
Andruw Jones (862)
Joe Medwick (861) *

(*) signifies Hall of Famer

Figuring that Ken Griffey, Jr and Albert Pujols will be Hall of Famers, that makes eight out of ten. Andruw Jones has a chance to make it in, and Hal Trosky was a great young player who was basically finished when he was 28.

I've been a big Miguel Cabrera fan since his amazing debut as a 20-year old. Looking at the names in the list above also doesn't just shout "Hall of Fame", these are Small Hall guys. Henry Aaron, Mickey Mantle, Griffey Jr, Pujols, Kaline: All Time Heroes.

Keep your nose clean, MiggyCab. When you and the Tigers head back to Motown, maybe you can ask Eminem for some advice.

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Patience and Power

We were looking for active players who are patient, have dynamic batting skills, and are young enough to be relatively dependable. So, the criteria we chose were:

- Minimum 500 career Plate Appearances
- Minimum 13.5% career BB%
- Minimum 125 career wRC+
- Younger than 35 years old today (Feb 23, 2011)

Unless our calculations are incorrect, and they really could* be, below is an exclusive club.

Cust's agent should bring
 this up next offseason.
Albert Pujols
Adam Dunn
Jason Heyward
Jack Cust**

That's it. That's the list.

*As usual, please let us know in the comments section if we've omitted anyone.

**One more thing on Jack Cust, here are the Career BB% Leaders over the past 25 years, min 500 PA's:

1. Barry Bonds: 20.3%
2. Jack Clark: 20.1%
3. Ken Phelps: 18.1%
4. Jack Cust: 17.3%

Thanks to Fangraphs for the stats.

Monday, February 21, 2011

Traveling Man

Sitting on a balcony in South Beach, Miami, staring across the Atlantic Ocean, with a purple haze funk in the air, my thoughts take me to Spring Training. I'm looking forward to my good friend's wedding this weekend, and considering what it means to be here, there, or anywhere. Looking at the horizon over the sea open my mind.

Thoughts usually drift from anticipation to memories. Isn't the way it always is? This seems like a perfect time to jot these rambling thoughts down into my blackberry to see where they take us... and away we go...

It is taking me over 2 seasons to get used to seeing Tom Crean coaching the Indiana Hoosiers. The reasons behind this are unclear, as I've easily adapted to college basketball coaches changing schools, like Tubby Smith, Pitino, Bill Self, Roy Williams to North Carolina, that jerk from Cincinnati going to West Virginia, and others. Perhaps it is because the news of Crean to Indiana flew a bit under my radar, when it happened. Where was I when it happened? Looking it up, it was April 2, 2008. Now, it makes sense that I'd not have heard since this is the height of baseball Opening Day anticipation. Okay, that one got away from me, sorry, a bit of a doozie.

"Muevete Panda"
The reason I thought of Crean, whom of course I will forever identify with Marquette, is that I am now realizing that Miguel Tejada is on the defending World Champion San Francisco Giants. Tejada, who had moved to 3rd base a couple of years ago due to diminished defensive range will be moving back to shortstop for the Giants. If he can hit, he could be worth it, but his defensive placement will likely lead to higher BABIP's for Giants pitchers.

***

The White Sox closer situation. Bobby Jenks and J.J. Putz are gone. Matt Thornton has been one of the best relief pitchers in the world over the past few seasons. We have praised Ozzie Guillen and Don Cooper in this space before for their abilities to handle a pitching staff. One aspect that hasn't received its due attention is how they would unleash Thornton at different times in the game, when he would be needed most. It's old school to make your best reliever your closer, but the new way of thinking leans towards using your best reliever when the game is most on the line. That could be with two on and two out in the 6th.

Jake Peavy is the Sox's Wildcard
Thornton, as you probably know, is left-handed. We haven't see many lefty closers outside of Billy Wagner and John Franco. Maybe that's because most teams have either zero or one really good lefty reliever. If that's the case, a manager will likely use him situationally while leaning on a few right-handed fireballers for the late innings.

The White Sox are lucky to also have left-hander Chris Sale in the bullpen. He is a high pedigree player who was drafted and made his Major League debut in the same season, last year. Sale was drafted as a starter, but as young pitchers are groomed to throw more innings as they age, it can be prudent to limit his innings by having him pitch in relief for a few months or a couple of years. We like the way this Sox 'pen looks because Sale can be used like Thornton the past few years, Will Ohman can be a LOOGY, and Sergio Santos & Thornton can be relied upon for the 8th/9th.

***

If you play auction style fantasy baseball, may I suggest targeting 1st baseman for a dollar or two. In Major League Baseball, if your first baseman isn't Doug Mientkiewicz, your 1st baseman can hit. The 20th best first baseman, for example will be able to hit relatively well, and much, much better than the 20th best at any other position besides of course outfield. With 3, 4, or 5 outfield slots in fantasy leagues, we would raise the comparison of 20th best 1st baseman to the 60th or 70th best outfielder. Last year, we did pretty well with underrated first basemen Gaby Sanchez, Aubrey Huff, and Jorge Cantu. This year, for a dollar or two, we could see Sanchez continue to emerge as well as a good return from guys like Brandon Belt, whomever starts for Arizona, and maybe even Brett Wallace or Xavier Nady.

***

I've moved on to the Grove Isle Hotel in Coconut Grove, Miami. It is quite lovely and tranquil here, and spirits are high as everyone is here to celebrate a wedding with lots of love.
It would probably be good for humanity if Joe Posnanski were inclined to write two or three thousand words on humanity every Saturday night. Read his thoughts from a bookstore here.

***

Sizemore may never be the same.
Is Kyle Blanks going to be any good this year? How about Grady Sizemore? Blanks is coming back from Tommy John surgery, and Sizemore had microfracture surgery.

For now, I'd stay away from both unless I could get Sizemore as a backup outfielder and maybe Blanks could be a decent pick in the last round.

***

Few amenities in life are as fulfilling to me as a heated pool. Please allow me to rephrase, few amenities in life are as unfulfilling as a non heated pool. Thankfully, the Grove Isle Hotel's pool is splendidly heated to the point where it's actually warm. Bliss.

***

Back in the hotel room. It's not President's Day. The wedding was lovely. The band couldn't play Iko-Iko, which was ridiculous. We'll be flying back to New York in a couple of hours. Let's have a great week.

Saturday, February 12, 2011

Roto Top 100 Board (W.I.P.)

It's a lazy Saturday morning. The Albert Pujols drama is still somersaulting from the sounds inside my mind. I've been trying to put my thoughts on why it would be good for the Cubs if he resigned with the Cardinals for 10 years and $300 million, but it just isn't clicking right now. I'm blaming the Cubs' curse. There is a Green Bay Packers/Brett Favre analogy in there somewhere, too.

As we try to get the blood and ink flowing, we're drawn to our old crutch, the alter-ego of the reality tour: Fantasy Baseball.

At the risk of not winning our own 2011 rotisserie league, I thought it'd be neat to share a quick glimpse of what it's like for us to build a rotisserie draft Top 100 board from scratch.

*W.I.P. stands for Work In Progress and of course is meant as a shout out to our accounting friends!

Basically, what's going on is I brainstorm the names and rank them as they come to mind. Once players are on the list, we'll move them up and down after considering Weino's invaluable perspective as well as position scarcity and additional statistics and information. Usually, when someone comes to mind, they start at the bottom of the list. The rare exceptions are those times I forget Jason Heyward or talk myself into believing that Carlos Santana's injury is nothing to worry about.

As we get comfortable with the top of the list, we begin to number the top picks as we would the first round of the fantasy draft. We're usually pretty good at ranking the top 6 or 8 players that get picked in our draft, and it's a great feeling when someone drafts a player we have way down on our list.

This year seems much different. There are decent arguments between whom should be taken with the top pick, who should go 3rd, 4th, and so on. The only sure thing, it seems, this year is that the 2nd pick will be the remainder from Hanley Ramirez and Albert Pujols.

Please keep in mind, we do all rankings of hitters with On Base Percentage in mind, as opposed to Batting Average.

Hanley @ #1 overall is OK
Hopefully, we'll have a nice list over 100 before we need to really get ready for the draft.

Hanley
Albert
Tulo
MiggyCab
Longoria
Cano
Votto
Braun
Mauer
Utley in the 2nd Round??
D. Wright
Zimmerman
Youkilis
Utley
A-Rod
A-Gonz
Cliff Lee
Doc Halladay
Crawford
King Felix
Greinke
Matt Holliday
Teixeira
Carlos Santana, future ex-Indian
Prince
McCann
V-Mart
Carlos Santana
Buster Posey
Jose Bautista
Dan Uggla
Shin-Soo Choo
Lincecum
Josh Hamilton
Kershaw should be more dominant in '11
CarGo
Pedroia
Jose Reyes
Kinsler
Jason Heyward
Clayton Kershaw
Josh Johnson
David Price
Rickie Weeks
Matt Kemp
Jay Bruce is getting stronger
Jay Bruce
Jon Lester
Adam Wainwright
Ryan Howard
Adam Dunn
Justin Upton
Ellsbury
Ubaldo
Tommy Hanson
Verlander
Yovani Gallardo
Adrian Beltre
Andrew McCutchen
Tommy's so happy to be on our list.
Curtis Granderson
Jayson Werth
Colby Rasmus
Ichiro
Just-Mo
C.C. Sabathia
Grady Sizemore
Ricky Nolasco
Brett Anderson
Nelson Cruz
Nick Markakis
Stephen Drew
Nice toss, Brett. No, really.
J-Ro
Mat Latos
Matt Cain
Alexei Ramirez
Kendry Morales
Geovany Soto
Francisco Liriano
Aramis

What do y'all think? Who should be moved up, down, added, dropped? Leave a comment below or email me baguilera (at) gmail. Have a good weekend; there should at least be some college basketball on.

Tuesday, February 8, 2011

Pirates Manager: The Before Picture

Some of you may have seen this in Jason Stark's NL Central report card article. We don't agree that "when all a team does is pretty much stand pat, it's grade needs to reflect that." The Reds were a good young team. Adding unnecessary parts would only hurt them and their future buying power.

The best part of the article, for us, was how happy Clint Hurdle looks in this photo from his first press conference.


Best Wishes to Clint Hurdle! He'd supposedly a wonderful man, and I hope the Pirates bring some excitement to the generation of young Steelers fans who couldn't care less about baseball.

Every manager looks happy the day he gets hired, but Jim Leyland was the last manager to have a winning season in Pittsburgh.  The Pirates have not had a winning season since 1992.


Pirate fans under 18 weren't even alive for Sid Bream.

Monday, February 7, 2011

MLB Bullpen Rankings

Editor's Note: These were our preseason rankings. Our updated team rankings can be found here.

Where does your team rank in our preseason rankings of every bullpen in Major League Baseball.

Off and on, the past few weeks, we looked at statistics of over 320 relief pitchers, focusing on last 3-season stats such as FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching), HR/9, and K:BB ratio, plus Marcel 2011 WHIP projections. Below are our stories:

Sunday, February 6, 2011

Super Bowl XLV Prop Pool

If you're having a little get together for the game today, or are even watching it with more than one person, you may find enjoyment in creating a quick prop pool that everyone can fill out. I've done this before for Super Bowl parties, and here's the one I drew up for this evening. All questions are worth 1 point, with a "closest without going over" tiebreaker at the end. Enjoy the game and the guacamole!

1. Duration of National Anthem?
Put me down for U1:54
_____ Over 1 minute 54 seconds
_____ Under 1 minute 54 seconds

2. Which team will win the coin toss?
_____ Green Bay Packers
_____ Pittsburgh Steelers

3. First Commercial after Kickoff will be:
_____ Bud Light
_____ Budweiser
_____ Doritos
_____ GoDaddy.com
_____ Kia
_____ Pepsi Max
_____ Skechers
_____ Teleflora
_____ Other

4. First score of the game?
_____ Touchdown
_____ Other

5. Which team will score first?
_____ Green Bay Packers
_____ Pittsburgh Steelers

6. The largest lead of the game at any time will be:
_____ Over 13.5
_____ Under 13.5

7. What will Fergie be wearing when she first appears on stage during the Halftime Show?
_____ Skirt/Dress
_____ Pants (Below Knees)
_____ Shorts (Above Knees)
_____ Thong/G-String/Bikini Bottom

What will GoDaddy do this
year to get people talking?
8. Highest Rated Commercial on USA Today Ad Meter will be:
_____ Bud Light
_____ Budweiser
_____ Doritos
_____ GoDaddy.com
_____ Kia
_____ Pepsi Max
_____ Skechers
_____ Teleflora
_____ Other

9. Which total will be higher?
_____ Packers 1st HALF POINTS
_____ LeBron James 1st HALF POINTS vs Clippers

10. Total INTERCEPTIONS thrown by both teams will be:
_____ Over 2.5
_____ Under 2.5

11. Packers total RUSHING YARDS
_____ Over 78.5
_____ Under 78.5

12. Will there be a SAFETY?
_____ YES
_____ NO

13. Which team will be winning at the end of the 3rd Quarter?
_____ Green Bay Packers
_____ Pittsburgh Steelers

14. Time on the Game Clock When the Winning Team Attempts to Dump Gatorade on Head Coach?
_____ Over 45-seconds left in 4th Quarter
_____ Under 45-seconds left in 4th Quarter

15. The Most Valuable Player (MVP) will be from which team?
_____ Green Bay Packers
_____ Pittsburgh Steelers

Tiebreaker – Closets to Total Points scored by Packers and Steelers, without going over: _____

Tuesday, February 1, 2011

Looker, Better than Belly Itcher

Overcoming the inertia of our humble, little blog space can often be embarrassingly challenging. We're usually lucky enough to find a few minutes each day to look into something, but finding a way to entertainingly share something here every time is not possible. We've been analyzing all thirty Major League bullpens, off and on, for the past two or three weeks, but how should we present our conclusions? Lots of stats? A list of 30 teams, ranked by our opinions of the bullpens? Count them down, or up? No worries, we'll figure something out. The rankings actually look pretty good, but I'm not sure how much work, or how many stats, to show.

An unrelated stat that we came across yesterday and wanted to mention was the hitting statistic of Walk Percentage (BB%), walks per plate appearance. We've said it mane times: hitters with good plate discipline are less susceptible to extended slumps than more aggressive hitters who care more about hitting than walking.

By now, it would be nice if we could all agree that the ability to draw a walk is about as valuable as the ability to hit the ball hard. Quick warning as we fall from the the razor's edge between docile and disputatious. The ability, or skill, to have a good eye is underrated.

In little league, back in the late '80s, kids who couldn't hit could still reach base by waiting for ball four from terrible pitchers who couldn't throw strikes. Those kids were called "lookers". If the pitchers through strikes, those kids would make outs A LOT. Being known as "a looker" was not good. Players would say, "Throw a strike, he's a looker!" at poor opposing hitters. If the pitcher couldn't throw a strike, we'd occasionally hear the classic, "We want a pitcher, not a belly itcher."

I love Little League baseball.
The funny thing is that in the lesser league of the Edgebrook/Sauganash Little Leagues, lookers could actually reach base a lot.

Even back then, there were signs that people didn't care enough about on-base percentage, just getting hits and knocking in runs.

We were surprised by some of the players on this list and are interested to see your reactions:

"Active" Career BB% Leaders
Jack Cust: 17.3%
Cust was a BB/HR/K machine in PDX
Jim Thome: 17.1%
Adam Dunn: 16.3%
Nick Johnson: 15.9%
Jason Giambi: 15.5%
Lance Berkman: 15.5%
Kosuke Fukudome: 14.7%
Jason Heyward: 14.6%
Chipper Jones: 14.5%
Todd Helton: 14.5%
Pat Burrell: 14.3%
Daric Barton: 14.2%
J.D. Drew: 14.1%
Elijah Dukes seems pretty spontaneous
Manny Ramirez: 13.6%
Carlos Peña: 13.5%
Albert Pujols: 13.5%
Troy Glaus: 13.4%
Elijah Dukes: 13.3%
Dan Johnson: 13.3%
Jorge Posada: 13.3%
Nick Swisher: 13.2%
David Ortiz: 13.2%
Chris Iannetta: 13.1%
Prince Fielder: 13.0%

It's great to see Jack Cust comfortably ahead of everyone else on the list. If he popped a few more homers, he could be known as a leader of the 3 true outcome group where he currently resides with Adam Dunn, Jason Giambi, and Carlos Peña. Here's to more good things for Jack Cust.

As a Cubs fan, seeing Fukudome ahead of Heyward, Chipper, and Helton only inspires feelings of helplessness and doubt.

As I shared during my 5:15 AM haze, Elijah Dukes still has a good eye. How can someone like Elijah Dukes be so patient inside, and so out of control outside, of the batters box?

What do you guys think of this statistic? Anything? Can any of these guys help your rotisserie team? There are some free agents, like Glaus and Dukes, could they help your favorite team?