|Lance, how could you?!?!|
News of Adrian Gonzalez signing long-term with the Red Sox got us excited about Lars Anderson joining Yonder Alonso and Allen Craig as three of the more enticing blocked 1st base prospects. It's doubtful the Reds or Cardinals would be particularly interested in helping the division rival Cubs acquire a potential star. So, how good are these blocked prospects? Are they worth the time and money? Are they worth trading pitching, infield, or catching prospects? Are they worth the opportunity cost? Worth the risk?
Here are Major League projections for Alonso, Anderson, Craig, and Davis as Chicago Cubs, using their career AAA stats and this nifty Minor League Equivalence calculator.
Career AAA Stats MLB Equivalent (as Cubs)
Yonder Alonso .261/.311/.404
|Lars, meet Adrian. Now, leave.|
Allen Craig .285/.336/.464
Chris Davis .281/.339/.450
Career Minors K/BB ratio
Yonder Alonso: 143/102 (1.40)
Lars Anderson: 467/271 (1.72)
Allen Craig: 354/168 (2.11)
Chris Davis: 432/146 (2.96)
Overall, we still love the future of Yonder Alonso. The strikeout to walk ratio could be the greatest statistic to use when looking for prospects who'll be able to avoid outs at any level, and Alonso has shown to be a strong kid with power (46 extra base hits in 101 AAA games). It would be briefly unbelievable if the Cubs pried him away from a division rival.
|Reds fans hope Yonder plays LF|
It's a tough decision and stats are there to help guide teams through their various scouting reports and talent boards. We all agree that stats are not everything, and even if they were, this is a small sample size, very early in the players' developmental curve. Anderson, for example, only played 113 games in triple A last season, and he was just 22 years old. As we mentioned three months ago, Lars Anderson is a big strong kid with a great batter's eye. The Cubs could do worse than that, and the way things have been going, probably will.