Friday, November 19, 2010

Week 11 NFL Picks

Last night, the Bears avenged 1985 as both Weino and I predicted.  The Bears are 7-3, but I'm not a believer.  I used to believe in the Bears, even when they were terrible.  Then, I became a realist, especially on defense.  If the defense doesn't inspire confidence, I don't believe in the team.  No 7-3 Bears team has inspired less confidence in my lifetime.

Football is a funny sport.  It's great on TV, and it is unpredictable.  Unlike futbol, or soccer, it has enough scoring to be fantastic for gambling.  So much of football is unpredictable.  Game rules change each season.  Game styles change weekly, based on personnel, opponent, or weather.  Football injuries are frequent and can change the entire complexion of a team.  Professional football doesn't have a long historical database of statistics, like baseball.  The historical depth of Football pales in comparison with the legendary, worldwide obsession with boxing.

So, I have no confidence in this 7-3 Bears team.  Why not?  Because their WR's stink.  Because their offensive line is the worst of any team above .500.*  Because I live in New York and don't have DirecTV.

*Great assumption I'm just throwing out there as fact, without looking up and considering the over .500 teams in any way at all?

We have faith in these guys.
Yes, we do.
These Bears are only ten games into their new offensive scheme.  Perhaps, I should lighten up.  The Bears defense leads the league in points per game allowed.  I should probably have a bit more faith in Lovie, Jerry Angelo, Julius Peppers, and the boys.

On the gambling front, I still do not provide any aplomb with our NFL picks.  We've had a couple of hot weeks, with 17 wins, 8 losses, and 2 pushes in Weeks 9 and 10.

You can see it in his eyes.
Since I expect to finish the season around .500, it's a good time to pull a Costanza and do the opposite of what we bet below.

As we face another Bearsless Sunday, here are our picks for Week 11:

Bears +1.5 @ Miami
Bengals -5.5 vs Bills
What happened to Neck Beard?
Browns +1.5 @ Jacksonville
Lions +6.5 @ Dallas
Ravens -10.5 @ Carolina
Packers -3 @ Minnesota
Texans +7 @ NY Jets
Redskins +7 @ Tennessee
Chiefs -8 vs Cardinals
Raiders +7 @ Pittsburgh
Rams +3 vs Falcons
Saints -11.5 vs Seahawks
Buccaneers +3.5 @ SF 49ers
Patriots -3.5 vs Colts
NY Giants +3 @ Philadelphia
Broncos +10 @ San Diego

The locks this week are the Ravens, Bucs, and Broncos.

Season Record: 38-27-3 (.585 W%)
Locks: 7-5-3

Don't gamble!

Enjoy the games!

1 comment:

  1. Bears, Bills, Browns, Cowboys, Ravens, Packers, Titans, Texans, Chiefs, Raiders, Saints, 49ers, Colts, Eagles, Chargers

    Locks (Ravens, Browns, Colts) I would have said the Bears, but I was late.