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Despite this analysis, we may pick Pujols to win the MVP again in '11 |
We're looking at players entering their Age 28 seasons and younger. So, please don't write in that Carl Crawford is better than this guy, or Josh Hamilton is better than that guy.
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Brandon Belt's stardom is approaching quickly. |
In this study, we only looked at hitters. Pitching is still so unpredictable, that there are usually only about a dozen pitchers each year we can get excited about without having substantial concern for injury.
As points of reference, the oldest player in our 109-player study is Shin Soo-Choo. The youngest is, of course, Starlin Castro. The player with the most career plate appearances is Miguel Cabrera, with 5,089 in the regular season. Freddie Freeman and Desmond Jennings have the fewest, with 24 plate appearances each. From the data, we briefly present a few leaderboards:
Career OPS+
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Votto is a worthy MVP |
2. Miguel Cabrera 145
3. Carlos Santana 144
4. Ryan Braun 140
5. Prince Fielder 139
6. Shin-Soo Choo 138
7. Joe Mauer 136
8. Hanley Ramirez 135
David Wright 135
10. Evan Longoria 134
Career wOBA
1. Joey Votto .409
2. Miguel Cabrera .394
Ryan Braun .394
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Santana's got serious lumber. |
5. Prince Fielder .387
David Wright .387
7. Shin-Soo Choo .383
8. Joe Mauer .382
Carlos Santana .382
10. B.J. Upton .380
avWAR per 600 PA
1. Carlos Santana 6.56
2. Evan Longoria 6.15
3. Joe Mauer 5.99
4. Hanley Ramirez 5.12
5. Danny Valencia 4.84
6. Joey Votto 4.76
7. David Wright 4.69
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Bill James thinks highly of Mike Stanton. Perhaps we should, as well. |
9. Shin-Soo Choo 4.59
10. Jason Heyward 4.53
2011 Bill James Projected wOBA
1. Joey Votto .426
2. Miguel Cabrera .425
3. Joe Mauer .407
4. Prince Fielder .401
5. Hanley Ramirez .398
Ryan Braun .398
7. Evan Longoria .397
8. Jason Heyward .395
9. Mike Stanton .391
10. Carlos Gonzalez .390
How about those small market teams. Multiple players from the Brewers, Indians, Twins, Rays, and Marlins? Anyone notice a lack of Yankees and Red Sox? For all the struggles that BJ Upton has endured, he sure has a nice career wOBA.
Carlos Santana is gifted. He exploded on the scene and could be riding the coat tails of small sample size into 2011. He's expected to be ready for Opening Day, but it is difficult to guess how long it will take him to come back completely.
Come back in the next few days to peruse our cherry-picked, and biased, rankings (by position and overall) for offensive players, with Major League experience, no older than Choo.
As always, thoughts, suggestions, and requests are encouraged in the comment section below. Afterall, this is all for you.
As always, thoughts, suggestions, and requests are encouraged in the comment section below. Afterall, this is all for you.
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