Friday, April 16, 2010

Does Bad Hitting Beat Bad Pitching?

The old adage is "Good pitching beats good hitting." We usually see it in the playoffs and All Star Games, when potent lineups are held to reasonably low run totals.

Today, fans have a chance to watch the opposite effect. Carlos Silva is facing the Astros right now at Wrigley Field.

There are advanced stats to show how ineffective Silva has been in recent history... 1.9 HR/9 innings in 2006, 66 ERA+ in 2008, 51 ERA+ & 0.91 K:BB ratio last season, ... and there are mainstream stats that tell the same story... a league-leading 38 Homeruns given up in 2006, 13-14 record with a 4.19 ERA in 2007, 4-15 with a 6.46 ERA in 2008, only 1 Win and an 8.60 ERA last season.

I don't want to be negative, and I don't want to put Carlos Silva down with words. The numbers, frankly, speak for themselves.

To say something nice about Carlos Silva, he was really good at not giving up homeruns his first two seasons in the league, with Philadelphia in 2002 & 2003, his HR/9 was 0.6. However, that was primarily as a reliever (only 1 start). He became a starter the next season, with the Twins, and through last season his HR/9 is 1.2.

And, so the Astros are really bad, especially on offense. Coming into today's action, they've played 9 games and scored 19 runs. That's 2.11 runs per game.

They have 8 walks and 56 strikeouts. Yikes.

So far, Silva has been holding his own to make a case for Bad Pitching beating Bad Hitting. It's an interesting case study. I think a few of the 'Stros will find a way to break out of their slumps today. (I'm looking at you, Carlos Lee.)

Enjoy the action if you're in Houston, Chicago, or you get the MLB Network. Tune in. It's on right now!

Anyway, I'm just kidding around... it doesn't matter... BTW, I love Tom Gorzelanny as a pickup to face these Astros tomorrow. Have a good weekend.

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