Friday, April 2, 2010

20 under 20%

The other consideration for title of this post was the sophomoric How Deep is Too Deep. As is commonly said, in "shallow" leagues teams need big time studs to win, and in deeper leagues teams need to find lesser known players to produce. Suffice it to say that I looked at players owned in less than 21% of leagues and picked an interesting player from 20%-1% ownership. It'll be interesting if any of these guys become everyday starters for fantasy players.

Fernando Rodney, RP, Angels (20%)
Anaheim’s closer, Brian Fuentes’s contract contains a 9 million dollar vesting option for 2011 if he finishes 55 games. There’s a good chance they brought Rodney in to close games, and Fuentes will be the situational lefty or 8th inning guy.

Felipe Lopez, 2b/SS, Cardinals (19%)
Runs will be scored in a lineup with Albert Pujols & Matt Holliday, and Lopez still has enough power/speed to be a valuable fantasy contributor.

Gio Gonzalez, SP, A’s (18%)
Less than 20% of Sportsline Rotisserie players think Gio is unrosterable. I feel it’s a huge mistake, as his home games reside in a pitcher’s park, and he has excellent strikeout ability.

Adam Kenneydy, 2b/3b, Nationals (17%)
Kennedy is probably just a stopgap player to fill in at 2b or Middle Infied, if you have someone like Brian Roberts or Jose Reyes, who won’t be ready on April 5th.

Gaby Sanchez, 1b, Marlins (16%)
20+ Homerun potential and a lifetime .300 Batting Average in the minor leagues make Gaby a legitimate sleeper.

Jake Fox, 3b/OF, A’s (15%)
I worry about Fox’s strikeouts leading to a problem with playing time, but his power will help and he can play 3rd, LF, RF, DH, and even emergency Catcher.

Michael Brantley, OF, Indians (14%)
We all heard about him from this post, I’m sure.

Chris Getz, 2b, KC (13%)
I think Getz has a chance to play every day and steal 35+ bases. As a second baseman, the pickings get pretty slim if you have an injury or two.

Drew Storen, RP, Nationals (12%)
Storen is really just someone to put on your scout team. If you’re in a league that rewards holds, you’ll want to pick up Storen as soon as you hear that they will likely call him up. He is the closer of the future in Washington, being selected nine picks after the golden boy: Stephen Strasburg.

Colby Lewis, SP, Rangers (11%)
He dominated for 2 seasons in Japan. In spite of his home ballpark, he’s probably worth a gamble.

Tom Gorzelanny, SP, Cubs (10%)
The Cubs are probably not going to be as terrible as I make them out to be. Moving Soriano to an RBI spot, like 5th or 6th, is going to be a huge improvement over his old spot leading off. His OBP is just too low to be hitting ahead of Lee and Aramis. Anyway, I think Gorzelanny will be good. He won’t strike out a ton of people, but he could be a cheap source of wins when playing the waiver wire.

Mat Gamel, 3b, Brewers (9%)
Unless you are Joe Mauer, beginning the season on the DL is usually not the precipice to having a career year. But, if your DL spot is not occupied, and you can freely drop someone, why not take a chance that this power-hitting prospect will come back in May and take the 3b job from Casey McGahee?

Fernando Martinez, OF, Mets (8%)
Only for long-term keeper leagues because he likely won’t make an impact in 2010.

José Bautista, 3b/OF, Blue Jays (7%)
I like all leadoff hitter for fantasy. They get more plate appearances and score lots of runs for having the team’s best hitters behind them. Bautista is a curious case, with his sub-.300 career OBP.

Tim Beckham, SS, Rays (6%)
Big-time prospect. For deep, deep, long-term keeper leagues where you have a minor league slot. I still like Desmond Jennings more, from the Rays’ system.

Mike Jacobs, 1b, Mets (5%)
Jacobs has power and is starting the season at 1b for the Mets. Their season begins hosting the Marlins and Nationals. I could see Jacobs hitting a few long balls versus right-handed pitchers of both of those clubs. Then, the Mets are in Colorado for three games. If your team uses daily substitutions, you could get a few cheap homers from Jacobs on days he faces righties.

Felix Pie, OF, Orioles (4%)
As a heart-battered Cubs’ fan, I can provide no comment on Felix Pie’s success.

Randy Ruiz, DH, Tor (3%)
Ruiz is sort of another Jake Fox… lots of power, no speed, and unstable playing time.

Dana Eveland, SP, Tor (2%)
If you sit him against New York, Boston, and Tampa Bay, you’ll probably get some pretty good performances on the other days.

Jemile Weeks, 2b, A’s (1%)
If Jemile Weeks is to Rickie Weeks, as Justin Upton is to BJ Upton, we’ll all want to have Jamile Weeks when he’s eventually called up.

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